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Jul 3, 2026
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6 min read
Markets are closed today for the observed Fourth of July holiday. The first half of 2026 was less about surprises than transitions. A new Fed chair. Trade policy in the courts. A war that reshaped energy. AI that moved from narrative to contracted demand. Capital markets that reopened. Here is the recap, and the questions that carry forward.
Jul 2, 2026
Saturday is the 250th. Markets are closed. American financial history is a capital cycle story across all of it. We finance transformational infrastructure. We sometimes over-finance it. We reform the financial system. We build again. The pattern is older than the country we are celebrating.
5 min read
Global chip stocks tumbled, Burry expanded his AI short, central banks warned on AI leverage, and the jobs report set the market's direction.
Jul 1, 2026
Warsh avoided July questions, Meta entered cloud computing, Palantir challenged AI pricing, Google lost a $2B case, and payrolls are next.
Payrolls take center stage after ADP missed, Fable returns with federal oversight, ETF inflows hit records, and SpaceX pressures carriers.
Jun 30, 2026
JOLTS beat expectations, retail set a dip-buying record, the SEC reviewed ETF rules, Etched emerged with $1B in orders, and pharma faced China scrutiny.